Archives for May 2016

Sunshine SUP Series race #1

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ALOHA! Who’s ready for some summer action?

MARK YOUR CALENDARS!
The dates have been set for the 2016 RK Sunshine SUP Series and plans are already being made to make this years event bigger and better than ever. Sick trophies, new course challenges and just an overall fun beach day!

Last year’s series we had over 120 racers and over 150 Extreme Kayak fishermen along with thousands of spectators at each event.

One of the biggest races in Florida, the Sunshine SUP Series race showcases Elite racers from all around the country.
The race will be on Saturday June 18 and Saturday August 27, 2016 on Pompano Beach, and includes an elite 6 mile course, a 3 mile rec course, sprint races,kids races, and more.

Live music will be playing on the big stage on the beach, D Fit beach challenges, Board demos, Vendors, Free food and drinks with entry!

This event benefits the Broward Childrens’ Center.

Stay tuned for more info here or at

www.SunshineSUPSeries.com

Tuesday Morning!

Good Morning! Un-Rideable micro trace. Great for anything but Surfing. Upcoast??? Very light offshore winds with a Low Tide around 10:40 AM. Maybe some Waves this weekend??? We’ll see. Keep Praying for Surf!!! Adios! 

    
    
    
 

Second NATLC Storm Now Forecast next 96

Happy Memorial Day. We give thanks to the men and woman who serve our country.

 

Cautionary Statement
Synoptic pattern setting up to increase chances of tropical activity coming out of the SW Carib and or Gulf of Mexico as early as this coming weekend setting up possible season first heavy tropical rains. Lots of uncertainty at the moment but all the players are already on the board.

Previous Storm we have been detailing in our up dates SE of Newfoundland now in the books. Seas have reached maximum at 30 FEET earlier today and are now down to 27 as of report time. Initial swell energy released. Next in the forecast next 96 hours is a NEW Storm developing in almost the exact location as current. I dont think I have ever seen two storms near the exact same location in the NATLC in a 96 hour period at the end of May. Definitely out of season and rare both producing seas of at least 25 FEET in a 96 hour period.2016-05-30_203353This is going to put another shot of swell in the water behind this first one. Looking at the image though looks like this one will have more WNW swell. Pretty much putting the seal on a East Atlantic Swell Event. Current MAX Seas forecast for this second storm developing excess 25 FEET. Thats alot of water being thrown around in a 96 hour period. I'm hoping some of it gets thrown our way And to be honest I'm a bit perplexed on that one at the moment as none of the marine forecast for the AMZ Zones are currently showing any significant increase in seas. 
2016-05-30_201932Heres the latest 96 Hour Swell forecast. We will go into a buoy watch probably tomorrow night on the indicator buoys and watch for any increasing trends. From here the forecast gets negative at least for this post.
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Remnants of BONNIE are forecast to move over the OBX and out into the Atlantic. Models earlier where showing some ENE 35Kt winds developing but have since backed off. As always one run of many so it looks like we may have jumped the gun on the POSSIBLE Surf Alert for Mid-Atlantic. In addition the EURO took a huge dump this afternoon and has jumped to very strong SW to Westerly flow developing off the U.S. East Coast in the extended This would lead to an extended period of possible small for all. Sorry to say, but again one run of many so lets hope it switches back. With that said get what ever you can get. Image is for Thursday. Remnants of BONNIE on the OBX. High pressure over Nova Scotia is going to get some Easterly flow going into the Mid-Atlantic through New England. Hopefully this will give you guys another push of ocean your way.2016-05-30_215356
We are gonna leave it right here for the moment and see what the models do next few runs but wanted to at least give you some type of update. The rest of this EURO run only gets uglier anyway.
Heres todays Hi-RES of  Storm SE of Newfoundland. PR is at the corner bottom left.2016-05-30_220732Stay Tuned sorry for the downer post.

Sunday Morning! 

Good Morning! Un-Rideable micro trace.  Light NE winds with a High Tide around 2:50 PM. Upcoast??? We’ll see! Keep Praying!!! Adios! 

    
    
    
 

Sunday

Caught a few waves yesterday up in St. Lucie County. The winds were on it a bit but there were some fun set waves to be had. Looks like there’s some leftovers upcoast today with better winds. Looks to have more size the further up you go.

UPDATE POSSIBLE MAJOR SWELL EVENT 91L INVEST/BONNIE ?

UPDATE EFFECTIVE
10:00AM EST MAY 28th 2016

Getting super super pumped with this storm forecast to develop SE of Newfoundland over the next 48-72 hours as a Major Swell Source. Models continue to suggest a possible DOUBLE MAJOR setting up in the North Atlantic with a SOLID Northerly Swell component. It is looking more and more likely with each passing run the swell will be far reaching along with being unprecedented for this time of year to come out of the North Atlantic at this magnitude and latitude. We will cover that in just a few moments with the overnight run of the EURO/ECMWF which did not disappoint. GFS showing slightly weaker scenario. Irregardless of differences in both models, it appears likely now that a MAJOR SWELL Event is about to unfold in the NATLC most of next week.

But first, lets get 91L out of the way soon to be BONNIE ? Heres the current wind map. Solid Swell filling into NE Florida Beaches this moring behind NE Wrap. As soon as I push publish I'm out. NE winds have elevated Surf heights this morning along the SE Coast.2016-05-28_093358
Winds are forecast to go offshore Sunday East Florida Coast up into Georgia with possible fun surf alert conditions right locations. Continued onshore choppy surf heading into the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic behind SE Flow.2016-05-28_093532
Seas are forecast to increase next 24, 12-14 Feet. These type of systems are hard to forecast from a surf forecast perspective but consider this a tune up as appears another shot at Tropical coming going into second week of June. So stay tuned in for that. Likely GOMEX at the moment.
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If you have been following along you know we have not had much concern with the above as far as surf. We began focusing last week on the NATLC, as models began showing signs of a Possible Major Swell Event coming. If you didn't see yesterdays video, go back one post and watch it to get the idea and follow up back here.
Heres the latest NOAA OPC 96 HOUR Surface forecast showing the same storm we have been detailing SE of Newfoundland. The Low responsible is just moving into the Atlantic today over Nova Scotia and Newfoundland. What I want you to notice is the second L coming in, and the distance between the X's (Forecast Locations) with the 988. It's not shifting much increasing duration of Northerly flow before openning a little bit.
2016-05-28_093047This is now showing up good in the latest NOAA 96hr Swell Forecast. 12-13 Second NE Swell 15-18 Second leading edge. I say leading edge because of the pre-existing NE Swell in the water from AZORES Low several days ago. Additionally this will be a fanning swell. Notice how it is fanning out with leading edge not to far from OBX.
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Seas forecast to increase to 9 METERS thats 30 FEET Qualifying for Major Swell Event Status. Major Swell Event is defined as Storm System where as seas increase  in excess 25 Feet in long period ground swell. 2016-05-27_235213So here is todays visible and what you are witnessing is an amazing look at pre development of a RARE NATLC Storm for this time of year. The Rarity comes in because models put it just a notch above the 40 line. That line is from the Mid-Atlantic over to Portugal. Because of the more Southerly location to the line means those in the Islands and into Florida if plays out right will be CLOSER to the swell source.
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Heres how EURO SEAS it in last nights run already knowing NOAA calling for seas to 30 Feet and NE Groundswell developing. 91L INVEST/BONNIE on the Left Coast 988MB LOW DEVELOPING SE of Newfoundland. NE Fetch aimed at the Bahamas to PR Swell. Image for Monday. Happy Memorial Day thank you to the men and women who serve and may God Bless Amerika2016-05-28_093925
TUESDAY: Low throwing more Northerly Swell component witch is good news for Jesper and the BoyZ at Surf Camp NGOR. How I want you to think about this is picture a dime and a 50 cent piece. The dime sitting on South Carolina and the 50 Cent piece staring at you in your face. Now ask yourself which one gunna throw more water.1026 MB HIGH will allow the swell to propagate unimpeded.2016-05-28_094040
Wednesday and Thursday is where the Second L mentioned above enters the Atlantic.
NEXT FRIDAY with already the first round of NE Ground swell in the water EURO Sets it up again. This time with two dimes. The amazing part is I see two dimes and a nickel off the Mid-Atlantic down through the Bahamas then take that to the bank #OBX (Remnant 91 ?) that just might make a quarter.
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Will have a look at todays afternoon model run and will cut updated video.
Stay tuned to the forecast.
PS the header image follow the image above and is for next Sunday. This is coming from one of the most reliable models out there. You do the math on how many days the EURO says 50 Cent will be performing in the North Atlantic Arena.
Video Update Coming later this afternoon.

TELL ALL U FRENS
MO FRENS MO BETTA
DABUH.COM

Saturday Morning!

Good Morning! Almost Ankle High North swell trace. Almost Long-Boardable. Upcoast??? Tomorrow??? Tropics??? Light offshore winds with a High Tide around 1:40 AM. Keep Praying!!! Adios!!!  

    
    
    
 

POSSIBLE MAJOR SWELL EVENT NATLC

Will be adding still images to this post along with an update after the EURO comes out in a few hours. This is the latest wind forecast for Monday.
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For now go with this video

Friday Morning!

Good Morning! More Ankle to Knee High plus NE wind swell. Long-Boardable! NE winds at 10-15 with a High Tide around 1:00 PM. Better later? Tomorrow?? Next weekend??? We’ll see. Keep Praying for Surf!!! Adios! 

    
    
    
 

91L INVEST Possible BONNIE Storm Force Low SE Newfoundland

Have been waiting to pull the trigger on a full update until we got a better fix on what has now become 91L INVEST East of the Bahamas. National Hurricane Center now at 80% chance of development next 4-5 Days. In our last update we mentioned that we weren't really all excited about it but had turned our focus on a large area of Low pressure SE of Newfoundland as a major swell source. More on that below.

Heres one of the last visible images of the day. I have enhanced it for brightness. We had some questions earlier on whether or not 91 may be trying to relocate a little further SW closer to the Bahamas. Theres like dual rotations.2016-05-26_202346 Latest 72hr surface forecast showing Low pressure possibly BONNIE on the SC coast in about 72 hours.2016-05-26_214454Keep this in mind and is one of the reason I've had to wait models after showing a weak system tried to crank it up today in the latest runs, It takes time to take that info and spread it across the spectrum so all this below here in reference to 91L is subject to change. This is the current wind forecast for Friday. Some 30KT NE winds coming out of the Bahamas shadow.2016-05-26_204139Seas building around 10-12 feet this should put a pulse in the water. As of report time winds on East Canav ENE 10-15Kts seas 3-4 feet. We will watch this buoy tomorrow.2016-05-26_215118Then Saturday Low just off the SE coast with ESE Trade flow and backside of Low aimed at the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic. EAST FLORIDA SURFERS unless this thing can crank up I would not expect much. There is a shot at some SE trade and could be a fun wave. But for those who automatically associate big waves coming because you hear Tropical Storm it doesn't always work that way. That goes for anybody thats gunna drive over. NO GUARANTEES 2016-05-26_204635Then on Sunday Low pressure, possibly BONNIE, on the SC Coast. Heres that shot at ESE trade for East Florida with offshore winds for North Florida Sunday morning. ESE winds working there way into Mid-Atlantic waters
From here the models hook this up towards the OBX. Where gunna leave this part of the forecast here and will do another update on 91L INVEST and any changes overnight so stay tuned in for that. For now looks like all the wind and wind swell direction aimed at the Carolina and Mid-Atlantic Coast.2016-05-26_205844Now going back to our last update and something we continue to look into. The latest 96hr Surface forecast map out of NOAA OPC showing storm developing SE of Newfoundland.2016-05-26_220848Seas increasing 20-25 Feet Image in Meters2016-05-26_162325This will get some Longer period ground swell going. The first line of green you see is some 8-10 Second NE Ground swell being generated by the AZORES low we talked about in our updates a few days ago. The patch of Green and Yellow is new swell from storm being generated. Image is for Memorial Day so swell still several days out so we are talking Mid to late week,2016-05-26_221230
Then the European model brings in another Massive Low to the NATLC. Again this is the ytpe of pattern you would expect to see in winter. Now see that smaller one on the left ? That is possibly the remnants of 91L INVEST/BONNIE. About the same size as forecast. Looking at the image which one you think produces bigger swell.
2016-05-26_222017
Thats it for now guys. Wish I had more exciting news.
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