Archives for September 2016

Thursday Morning 

Good Morning! Slight SE surface chop. High Tidey and Un-Rideable. Very light SW winds with a Low Tide around 2:00 PM. Upcoast? Probably. Next week?? Hopefully. Tropics??? Oh Yeah!!! Keep Praying!!! Adios! 

    
    
    
 

NEWLY Named Tropical Storm MATH-YOO Hurricane Force Low NATLC

LATEST VIDEO UPDATE 
THURSDAY SEPT 29TH 2016
EFFECTIVE AROUND 1PM
BOTTOM OF POST

We now have NEWLY Named Tropical Storm MATH-YOU entering the Eastern Carib as of 11 AM EST Wednesday Sept 28th 2016. Here is the National Hurricane Centers 1st Forecast track. Keep in mind just like we say one run of many this is the first by the NHC. It will change over the next 5 days. NHC Forecasting MATH-YOO to CAT 1 Status by Friday 8 AM.2016-09-28_110301
We will add an afternoon update this afternoon after the 12Z EURO comes out. For now go with this video best watched in full screen.

Always verify date and time stamp located in black bar to ensure you are looking at the latest imagery. Can leave the tab open if you wish auto update every 15 minutes or refresh the page for certainty.
VISIBLE

RAINBOW

RB TOP

LATEST VIDEO UPDATE
THURSDAY SEPT 29TH 2016
EFFECTIVE AROUND 1PM

Wednesday Morning 

Good Morning! Flat and Un-Rideable. Small underlying swell trace- but it’s really High Tidey. Light SW winds with a Low Tide around 1:20 PM. Upcoast??? Probably. Topics??? Hopefully! Keep Praying for Surf!!! Adios! 

    
    
    
 

Tuesday Morning! 

Good Morning! Calm, Flat and Un-Rideable. Lake Atlantic. Paddle Land. Waves waaaaaaaay Upcoast??? Probably. Next week??? Tropics??? We’ll see. Keep Praying!!! Adios! 

    
    
    
 

Monday Morning!

Good Morning! Less than Ankle High SE trace. High Tidey and Un-Rideable. Very light NW winds with a Low Tide around 10:40 AM. Upcoast? Next week?? Tropics??? We’ll see. Keep Praying for Surf!!! Adios! 

    
    
    
 

Sunday Morning!

Good Morning! Flat, Calm and Un-Rideable. So Sad! Low Tide around 10:40 AM. Upcoast??? Probably. Tropics??? Hopefully!!! Keep Praying for Surf!!! Adios! 

    
    
   

MATH-YOO ? NIH-KOHL ? X-TREME EVENT ?

VIDEO UPDATE ADDED BELOW
MONDAY SEPT 26 2016

KAR-ULL SWELL INFO POSTED BELOW

KAR-ULL on the move possible hurricane conditions for Bermuda then its on to the North Atlantic with a POSSIBLE X-TREME EVENT COMING in the far extended forecast. After backing off showing absolutely nothing in yesterdays afternoon run the EURO is back on overnight. For those who saw our tweet that We had ?’s what trails behind soon to be 97L INVEST can sometimes lead to model confusion heres your example. This is last nights run +240 10 days. Ancient Rainbow Warrior sign Fo Da Clean-Ah Fish coming as possible and or NIH-KOHL. Another Atlantic Fish Storm ? coming to clean the reefs out for season change. If model verifies (THIS IS ONE RUN WITH 10 DAYS TO GO THE MODEL WILL CHANGE NOTHING IN WEATHER ABSOLUTE UNTIL IT HAPPENS IN REAL-TIME)
From what could be MATH-YOO’s position there are only two choices in track,Up or Over. Lots of time to watch will have a video update later today. Waiting for the right moment in the imagery.2016-09-24_052045
The window is beginning to shorten and the entire envelope of soon to be tagged 97L INVEST now over the East Atlantic.2016-09-24_044701Da Clean-Ah Fish and or NIH-KOHL. This is where the model confusion came in. For those who recall the GFS had back to back runs of lifting Low Pressure over PR a few runs once over Hispaniola following in KAR-ULL’s wake.2016-09-24_04500224HR change National Hurricane Center. Now has soon to be 97L INVEST passing through the Islands next 5 days at WITCH TIME it is becoming increasingly clear that a tropical cyclone will likely develop once out of the influence of Easterly Trade which can disrupt flow if a system is not well organized as it comes under land interaction passing through the Islands. Agian, lots of time to watch. Be aware of people who have no clue what they are talking about posting images on social media of a MAJOR HURRICANE making Landfall here or there. TO SOON FOR THAT. Since the beginning models started to pick up on the system there have MODEL landfall locations from Central Amerika to New England. NO JOKE. KAR-ULL is a perfect example. National Hurricane Center showed Hurricane, Hurricane, Hurricane, and he’s still not a Hurricane. For the non surfing, non mariner community, stay tuned for the video update later today.We will post it below once we cut it. As for X-Treme Event ? October a month of Ghost and Monsters. So far models showing Ghost by developing and not developing and models also show a Monster.
2016-09-24_055139
KAR-ULL SWELL UPDATE
6:15 AM EST SATURDAY SEPT 24th 2016

Main wave energy of KAR-ULL just pushing up on the Indicator Buoys. These Buoys are the NE Bahamas and both Bermuda’s. From back to front. South Bermuda buoy now cut off from KAR-ULL’s ESE Swell as swell direction begins to rotate. Buoy looks to have peaked last 12hrs 12 Feet.
Tropical Storm LEE-SUH Swell inbound to the buoy next couple of days.2016-09-24_061414NE Bahamas buoy 5 Feet 11 seconds. Buoy has had a couple of 6 foot postings and we are likely at max may see it come up a bit however.2016-09-24_061718Paul West Bermuda with the most at 8 feet and may also be at max here as well.2016-09-24_062240I’ve heard several times the word hype being thrown around in reference to our original forecast and surf turning out smaller than anticipated. Will refer those back to above. National Hurricane Center showed Hurricane, Hurricane, Hurricane and KAR-ULL is a Tropical Storm which leads to smaller surf conditions than anticipated. Still fun waves yesterday. Going back for round two this morning. 911Surfreport.com
Remember just cause it aint breaking at your house doesnt mean its not breaking at someone elses.
2016-09-23_143818Stay tuned for the video update here in this post later today.
NOAA 96HR Swell forecast LEE-SUH Swell combining with leftover KAR-ULL Swell next 4 days.
Buoy Watch Remains in Effect.
2016-09-24_063146
LATEST VIDEO UPDATE 97L INVEST POSSIBLE MATH-YOO
8PM EST MONDAY SEPT 26th 2016

VIDEO BEST IN FULL SCREEN

Friday

Not quite what we were hopping for this morning but we did manage to find some fun longboard waves upcoast. Hopefully there will be more size tomorrow!

Wednesday Morning!

Good Morning! Flat and Calm. Un-Rideable. High Tide around 12:50 PM. Waves way upcoast? Later this week?? Tropics??? We’ll see! Keep Praying!!! Adios! 

    
    
   

Tropical Storm KAR-ULL TD JOO-LEE-UH

VIDEO UPDATE BOTTOM OF THE POST

UPDATE
TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 20TH 2016 BELOW

Ancient Rainbow Warrior sign fo break-out da Rhino Chay-Sa.
48 HR Swell forecast front runner Tropical Storm KAR-ULL. Just as we have seen with HER-MEEN now JOO-LEE-UH we could be talking about KAR-ULL for days on end as it tries to sit down North of PR upcoming forecast period. 2016-09-18_113944
Seas increasing 25 FEET next 72. 2016-09-18_114350
KAR-ULL Forecast to become a hurricane in the Wednesday overnight hours. This means seas will increase under intensification phase to excess 30 possibly excess 35 feet. Especially since EURO shows Major Hurricane,2016-09-18_13435112Z GFS +240=10 DAYS Again could be talking about KAR-ULL for A while. Image below week from this Wednesday. Think about that.
2016-09-18_134804
TD JOO-LEE-UH has a shot a becoming a Tropical Storm again. National Hurricane Center has put Air-force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft on standy by for tomorrow afternoon if necessary. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a tad bit better conducive for re-generation into a Tropical Storm. Stay tuned to out social feeds for Real-Time Updates.

KAR-ULL

LATEST VIDEO UPDATE BEST WATCHED IN FULL SCREEN.
WE WILL BE ADDING AN UPDATE LATER TODAY TO THIS POST ON LATEST ANALYSIS OF THE EURO MODEL CHECK BACK FOR THE UPDATE.

VIDEO UPDATE
TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 20TH 2016

Heres a video update on KAR-ULL. TD 13/96L INVEST has now become Tropical Storm LEE-SUH over in the East Atalantic. LEE-SUH forecast to remain a fish storm but may aide as backup to incoming KAR-ULL Swell. KAR-ULL SWELL showing on the indicator buoys details in video below.

Heres this afternoons run of the EURO for model comparison for the GFS used in the video. Image is for this coming Monday. Thats KAR-ULL 984 MB NE of Bermuda on his way to the NATLC. Look at the 964/978 SE of the Tip of Greenland. This will get NE Groundswell going out of the NATLC wrapping down into KAR-ULL with 1029MB High over SE Canada 3 sources of NE Swell source.2016-09-20_145954This image is for Wednesday of next week again with another reinforcing NE groundswell GALE SSE of Newfoundland.2016-09-20_150254
Latest video update best watched in full screen

VIDEO UPDATE 11:30 AM EST
SEPTEMBER 21ST 2016