Archives for January 2017

North PAC Coming Back to Life

The North Pacific is coming back to Life with the clock ticking on the window for the Quicksilver 2017 EDDIE. Holding period window ends February 28th. Currently the window on the Volcom Pipe Pro is now open. Contest window runs from January 30th through February 10th and chances look to be increasing on running this event. Click the image to redirect then click event details for the latest around noon Eastern Standard Time for the update.
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Currently we have Low Pressure Storm NE of Hawaii that is forecast to reduce to GALE next 48 while moving towards the ENE over the next 96HRS. Seas forecast excess 30 Feet in NE Swell in front of NW Swell developing in the NW Pacific behind incoming Storm.2017-01-30_073407Incoming Storm NW PAC also forecast to produce seas in excess 30 Feet in NW Swell.2017-01-30_075412
Latest 96HR NOAA Swell Forecast. GALE off the U.S. West Coast incoming NW Swell.
2017-01-30_080041 Unfortunately as the GALE gets closer to the coast another round of some heavy precip is coming with it and the Western U.S. could use a break. Too much of a good thing all at once can be detrimental. At least the brutal drought conditions of the past several years is over. Image is for this Friday February 3rd.2017-01-30_080334
Beyond that both GFS and EURO trying to light it up inside of 10 days.
OOZ EURO for Day 9 February 8th showing two Low Pressure Systems again with localized NNE Swell and distant NW Swell inbound.2017-01-30_081447
Image 00Z GFS Day 10 February 9th.2017-01-30_082002 Current JMA NW PAC and developing storm producing NW Swell in swell image above. Seas increasing excess 30 Feet.2017-01-30_082646
Latest from Pat Caldwell
Click the image to redirect for more info stay tuned in for the updates.
Spread Da Wurd……. Wurd of DaBuh
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Mini Bounce ? NATLC Set to Explode

Well Guys, cant say we didn’t warn you the small for all is in. There are some varying degrees of local swell events around the horn from the GOMEX on through the NE. The North Atlantic is set to explode. Unfortunately this is not a favorable pattern for U.S. East Coast swell production as the pattern dictates a majority West Swell component.

Following our REEF-Racktion Swell post looks like there could be a little Mini Bounce coming. NW winds increasing on an already pre-existing Westerly flow should bring some promise for a small bump for SOFLO.
2017-01-29_194701Latest 96HR NOAA Swell Forecast paints the picture for U.S. East Coast surfers. West swell into Portugal WSW into Ireland through the UK behind Hurricane Force Low Developing. If you look down into Florida you can see some swell directional change so again a little hope in the upcoming forecast.
2017-01-29_155655This was this mornings imagery of 1st in a series2017-01-29_091055When looking at the image above think about how that is now pulling whats over the U.S. into the Atlantic. Here comes the 2nd. Image below also from this morning.2017-01-29_094625
The energy above from this morning developing into a Hurricane Force Low next 48 passing South of Newfoundland on its way to the NE Atlantic.2017-01-29_200531GFS showing MAX winds 60KTS going into Wednesday morning seas increasing excess 45 Feet.
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There is a little hope but not much to break the small for all. Blocking High is setting up in the East Atlantic. The multiple days of ESE trade winds COULD get a small trade wind swell going. It’s gonna be out there a while and as mentioned above you can see some swell directional change in the NOAA Swell model.
2017-01-29_201359Next shot at a pulse of swell out of the North now looks to be setting up for next weekend. Blocking High still in the East with a decent Northerly Flow coming across the Cape. These to combined features could put surf in rideable conditions for the right locations. Not alot of confidence at the moment something we will keep an eye on in the upcoming model runs so stay tuned in for that as well.2017-01-29_202021
We talked about in a previous post and in our video forecast updates how over time the current pattern we are in was known to produce OBX Lows. This is day 10 Wednesday Feb 8th. Keep in mind this model image is just a moment in time and the only confidence is whats happening and going to happen up in the North Atlantic over the next 7-10 days. NON STOP I would hate to be a merchant marine on a trade route.2017-01-29_202629
All for now stay tuned for the update.

North Atlantic Set to Explode

What a run of swell last 30 days or so, for everyone from the Pacific, to the Gulf of Mexico, along the U.S. East Coast through the entire Atlantic all in one active phase for this side of the Northern Hemi.
We always like to go back and look at our previous post for forecast verification.
Do we always get it right ? No, but we like to think we are more right than we are wrong. In fact, if you go back and look at our forecast updates over the last 30 days it appears to us we were pretty much on point. What do you think ?

This was posted New Years Day. Since this post the last 30 days have been exactly that, intense and it’s not over yet as the North Atlantic is set to EXPLODE.2017-01-27_065522The period started with Typhoon AU-RING for the Philippines January 7th. This is the time of year that what happens in the NPAC can often times mirror over in the North Atlantic 2-3 weeks later. We are now entering the Real-Time phase of an EXPLOSIVE period coming up for the North Atlantic as the phase has shifted from the Pacific and now to the Atlantic. Then after AU-RING, the NPAC set up for a relentless Westerly flow which in turn set the Western U.S. up for a continuous onslaught of swell and precipitation. This led to record amounts of snowfall and heavy rains that have all but eliminated the California Western U.S. Drought. California has suffered through many droughts for hundreds of years and the worse ones appear to be followed by a period of increased or heavy precipitation events, Newtons 3rd Law. This one came in a period of 45 days or so with a Pineapple Express Event, So not counting last years precip that put the dent in the drought, just the past 45 days that finished the drought.  The Swell Event for the Pacific is just beginning to phase down with Mavericks going off behind the recent Hurricane Force Low produced near the Aleutians and the coastal storms that have battered the coast. The window for the EDDIE is beginning to close for 2017 as the next phase does not appear in the forecast models through the first two weeks of February.

Then came Winter Storm HELENA and a GALE that developed NE of PR. This image is dated the 9th of January and set PR and Islands up for a nice run and fun surf alert and for the Western Atlantic.
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This turned the majority of the Atlantic into NE Swell.
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Then on January 17th we posted.2017-01-27_065400
Followed by 2 days later on the 19th Active Phase this Side of Northern Hemi. 2017-01-27_065234
This active phase saw Monterey Bay California Buoy record its largest seas in 30 years recording seas in excess of 30 feet reaching a max of 34. The previous record was 32 Feet recorded in 2008. It saw the Gulf Of Mexico with the highest seas excess 20 Feet since Hurricane HER-MEEN giving GOMEX riders something to ride and we just witnessed seas in excess of 25 Feet along the Mid-Atlantic with this most recent coastal storm. Then there was our post on the South Florida Phenomenon of the REEF-Raction Swell this week. This doesn’t leave out the recent Hurricane Force Lows of the North Atlantic or the spawned tornadoes and lives lost with the recent batch of severe weather. It appears with Florida’s refusal at Winter, Spring may be just around the corner and may come a little early this year. It’s not out of the question to see it 30 days earlier than normal for the SE. Wont be long and we will be March-ing are way into it with February a short month.

We are now at T-MINUS 125 days for the Official Start of the 2017 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Season.

So whats next. The Atlantic is now on lock down just as the Pacific was with an all Westerly Swell component up coming forecast period with the North Atlantic set to explode with some of the deepest pressures season to date.

00Z EURO showing Low Pressure 1002MB exiting the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast in 96 hours headed for the NE Atlantic.2017-01-27_073811
This Low appears to be the catalyst for an incoming BOMB just West of Ireland Day 6.
Image is for Thursday the 2nd of February.
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The 00Z GFS with a MONSTER 943MB so good agreement between the models inside of 7 days where confidence begins to increase.2017-01-27_074701
Latest 24HR NOAA Swell Forecast showing NW Swell from previous NATLC Hurricane Force Low heading towards West Afrika and the development of the ALL Westerly Swell component setting up for the Atlantic with no relief in site leading into February.2017-01-27_075248
Latest NOAA 96HR Swell Forecast2017-01-27_075345And the above is before this drops in off the Mid-Atlantic in 96HRS.
See model forecast detailed above.
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Thats all for now stay tuned for Real-Time updates by following us on our social feeds.

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Day 5 – solo sessions

Another one goes unridden

The clock ticked to 515 and my brain was awake!  I am an early riser, great being a photographer and even better for my wife now that we have another early riser, Carson our son.  One last chance effort to try and figure out the flash before I break it down and just shoot without.  No avail.  :(.  You win some and you lose, this trip the flash won.  It wasn’t the first and won’t be the last the equipment failure haunts me.  Just have to roll with the punches.  I decided to shoot with a 50mm 1.2 prime lens, which can produce some amazing results.  My dad and I headed down to South Jetties in Venice Florida about 615.  Not a soul in sight, my favorite time of the day!  Still clean long lines coming in and was about waist high.  Looked super fun to surf.  Such a great moment to get out there with my dad.  Having my best friend as my dad is something I hope that can happen one day with my son.  I swam out while he surfed.  We had it to ourselves for over and hour long after sunrise.  It amazes me there were not more people out.  On the east coast it would have been packed and we get way more wave oppourtunites than they do.  I shot for almost 1.5hrs.  By the time everyone showed up the tide was too high and was really only longboardable.  Since longboarding is way too boring for me (although I have a couple longboards) we got our shortboard SUP’s and headed back out for another 1.5hrs.  It was tough for me with my back issues but always have a blast getting out in the water with my dad.  After the morning session it was time for me to head back to the east coast as I had a ton of work piling up.  Thanks for following along!

Thanks to my awesome supporters!

www.RVCA.com – Providing the best boardshorts, clothing and wetsuits, supporting artists from around the world.

www.PacSafe.com  – Providing me with the best travel bags and gear
www.TrustTheBum.com – Sun Bum – Protecting my skin in the sun!

www.Gitzo.us  – Gitzo Tripods – Supporting all my dry cameras!
www.SolveSunglasses.com –  Buy one pair of Solve’s and give one person clean water for life!

www.Manfrotto.us – Professional camera support gear

www.CompoundBoardshop.com – The boardshop for all your advendtures!
www.SeafarerSurfboards.com –  World class surfboards made in Florida!

www.Aquatech.net – Aquatech SLR water housings
www.Proshotcase.com – Making the best Water Housings for my iPhone!

SlaveToTheWave.com

See more of my work: 
Commercial: www.BocaRatonPhoto.com
Fine Art: www.BenJHicks.com
Instagram: @benjhicks
Facebook: www.facebook.com/benhicksphotos

Day 4 – Camera woes

Jake into the shade.

The night before there were a lot of indicators that it was going to get good.  Still lots of swell, dying wind 3 hrs before sunrise and clear weather.  I prepped the night before my gear as usual and planned a beach meeting at 630am, about 45 min before sunrise.  In the dark it looked promising but always hard to tell until you get out there.  Jake, Andy, my dad and I swam out.  Before even reaching the sandbar, I realized my flash was not working.  Immediately I swam back in and started trouble shooting.  My window to those during this twilight hour is so small and realizing I was going to miss it was very disappointing.  I headed back to the car and troubleshot the best I could.  After about 10 min I took the flash out and tried to make it happen anyway.  By this time there was almost too much light to shoot flash anyway.  The red tide was still there but much better than the day before.  My eyes didn’t burn but I coughed constantly the entire 2 hr session.   Upped my ab workout in the surf shooting fisheye.  A couple drainers were had and Jake and I linked up a couple times.  Fun morning to start off a great “winter” day in Florida.

After a quick recharge with food I was back at it.  This time heading to South Jetty in Venice Florida, about a mile north of where we went in the morning.  The wind was still light and offshore.  The swell was peaking and looked really fun.  Before swimming back out I took a couple aerial images with the drone.  Birds eye, looking for dolphins but didn’t find any.  Tayler Brothers came in and said it had gotten fun down the beach.  I suited up, in just a shorty as the water wasn’t too cold and the air was perfect. We headed down the beach into the sandbar dredgers to try and get a couple.  We didn’t link up with a barrel shot but got a couple others.  Red tide was still around, as it had been for almost 6 months!  Since I haven’t shot in larger waves in a while (constantly kicking against a current) my feet were full of blisters on each side from my fins.  Keeps you on your toes, literally.

As the tide came in and it started to get a little too high for shooting barrels, I switched my camera for my board.  Really fun waves and surfed for almost two hours.  It was about 1:30 and I had already had about 5hrs in the water.  My back kept me from really pushing full bore on turns, it was still fun to get out there.  Headed to home base for a late lunch.  I also chatted with Brian from Aquatech, the company that makes my awesome housings.  We struggled to figure out why the flash wasn’t syncing.  I then took apart every wire and finally ended up figuring out a solution for it to work.  Headed back to the South jetty about 3:30 and got another surf in while I waited for the light to get good to shoot in the evening.  Another fun but very stiff session.  By this time most of the locals were already burnt out from surfing the last 3 days.  I always find it strange why so many surfers will hang out and talk about surfing while they could instead be out there?  Hey more waves for me right?  I headed back out with the flash housing just before sunset.  Just as I got out there, I faced another issue.  The flash was set to 1/4 and would not move.  I was stuck with that and had to adjust the rest of the camera setting to hopefully make up for it.  A tough problem since I shoot fully manual.  So frustrating as the waves and sunset were perfect for shooting.  Got a couple but not at all what I was intending.  On the bright side, I was out there doing what I love and it was beautiful.  A bonus to have my dad along side this whole time.  So grateful.

 

Thanks to my awesome supporters!

www.RVCA.com – Providing the best boardshorts, clothing and wetsuits, supporting artists from around the world.

www.PacSafe.com  – Providing me with the best travel bags and gear
www.TrustTheBum.com – Sun Bum – Protecting my skin in the sun!

www.Gitzo.us  – Gitzo Tripods – Supporting all my dry cameras!
www.SolveSunglasses.com –  Buy one pair of Solve’s and give one person clean water for life!

www.Manfrotto.us – Professional camera support gear

www.CompoundBoardshop.com – The boardshop for all your advendtures!
www.SeafarerSurfboards.com –  World class surfboards made in Florida!

www.Aquatech.net – Aquatech SLR water housings
www.Proshotcase.com – Making the best Water Housings for my iPhone!

SlaveToTheWave.com

See more of my work: 
Commercial: www.BocaRatonPhoto.com
Fine Art: www.BenJHicks.com
Instagram: @benjhicks
Facebook: www.facebook.com/benhicksphotos

Reef Rack-tion Action Swell the Florida Phenomenon

UPDATE JANUARY 26th

This is a follow up on the theory of the SE Florida refraction swell phenomenon. Not only is this plausible it seems likely. Green arrows indicating swell direction. WNW winds blowing into the Bahamas pushing volumes of ocean surface into the Islands. It can not naturally flow through because there is volume of water blocking its escape this in turn causes a ripple effect.2017-01-26_084219
As the ripple effect takes place it bounces back into the Gulfstream where the Gulfstream adds Southerly energy in effect developing a loop current bringing the swell back to the coast.
2017-01-26_083431
This was the 12Z GFS RUN 1-23 850MB wind vort map for Monday into Tuesday. Down at the surface the winds were lighter than shown but still 35-40KTS WSW as the front swung through.
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Going into Tuesday subsiding.2017-01-26_091303
For perspective North of the Cape. This is for the ones who think it comes from Northerly Swell. This defies  logic that somehow a Northerly Swell can develop under West winds of 35-40KTS.
One has to wonder, if you were able to move the Bahamas North 350 Miles what the effect would be. This is the only real difference between South Florida and North Florida along with the Gulfstream further offshore.
2017-01-26_092043
All for now stay tuned for the forecast update. We are entering a Real-Time Phase were the NE Atlantic looks to explode over the next 10 days.

ORIGINAL POST BELOW

For years, many have wondered about the theory of a Refraction Swell for portions of Florida’s SE Coast. We like to call it a REEF Rack-tion Swell.

The main theory goes like this. During winter months with passing of fronts when the offshore winds come through Florida fast and hard out of the WNW/NW, through the Bahamas and down the coast for a period of no less than 24HRS of winds 30 plus knots, this combined with the interaction of the Gulfstreams South to North component, will and does produce surf for portions of the SE Florida Coast. Most South Floridian Surfers have known about this phenomenon for years. Guys like James Knill of Amanda James Gallery in Boynton Beach tells us he has seen it almost every-time over the last 20yrs. That it used to be a secret and now its just a matter of finding which break is breaking best

Heres one of Knill’s shot back from January 8th 2017.
2017-01-25_082459
We dont discuss it much in our forecast updates because its a South Florida thing. Plus we dont want to be seen as the reason for adding to the line up. With the advent of Social Media the secret is no more.
Here’s one from Bargain Bob Baggett of yesterdays REEF Rack-tion Swell January 25th 2017.2017-01-25_083614
Here’s a look at yesterdays HI-RES EOSDIS out of NASA of the developing Coastal Storm for the Mid-Atlantic. Had this system been 250 miles or more to the East this would have opened up a strong NE fetch creating NE groundswell conditions.2017-01-25_085027
Heres the zoom of South Florida. Take note of the sediment and ocean color change in the coastal waters of West Florida. This is due to high surf behind largest seas recorded for the Gulf of Mexico since Hurricane HER-MEEN 2016. Red arrow signifies atmospheric flow and the offshore wind component for SE Florida. Onshore flow for the West Coast of Florida hence the sediment. Looking over at the Bahamas we also see ocean color change. This is partly due to sediment and ocean depth of the coral reefs of the Bahamas.

So think about this when looking at the image below. You have the undercurrent of the Gulfstream passing South to North between the Florida Coastline and the Bahamas. You have offshore winds blowing the ocean out to sea and through the Bahamas. Had the Bahama Islands not been there, the ocean would proceed towards the East unimpeded like what occurs North of Fort Pierce when these fronts come passing through. Theres nothing blocking it and when the winds are coming out of the NW North of Ft Pierce this can often times be the beginning phase of NW Swell headed for PR and Islands.

So here lies the REEF Rack-tion Swell theory. Large WNW Seas/Swells hinting the reefs of the Bahamas and bouncing back towards the SE Florida Coast then aided by the energy of the South to North undercurrent of the Gulf Stream. This is why some call it a “Bounce Swell” because its bouncing back off the Bahamas in effect like a backwash. This is the opposite of the Bahama Block during Hurricane season. That phenomenon is that if a large enough Easterly Swell is generated by a Tropical Storm or Hurricane the swell can pass through the gaps in the islands reaching the South East Florida Coast. I first learned about this years ago from Chris Beeman of Slavetothewave.com. When it doesnt happen this is called the Bahama Block.
2017-01-25_084716
As far as the upcoming forecast for the Atlantic the Atlantic is on lock down on all swell generating systems for the East U.S. Coast The pattern is set for producing a Westerly swell component into the North Atlantic with everything headed to the other side of the pond for the foreseeable future. Outside shot at some NW Swell for the Islands setting up next week.
2017-01-25_095623
All for now stay tuned to the forecast.
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Day 3 – Red Tide

Sunset on Venice, Beach

Rumor has it red tide has been lingering around the area I am in for the past 6 months.  It can be brutal on the lungs and eyes.  Killing a lot of fish along the way.  With the swell purging and the winds howling we ventured out at the best spot around for dredging pits to shoot.  It was victory at sea to say the least.  Within 10 mins your eyes were burning from the red tide infused salt spray hitting your face.  We drifted in the current for about 45 mins before Jake, myself, Tayler and Andy couldn’t open our eyes.  The winds were super strong and had most beaches unridable and along with many closed access.  South Jetty in Venice, Florida was completely closed with the water washing over the parking lot.  This is one of the biggest swells they have had in years here.  Unique was the fact that this front was very far south and didn’t bring much cold.  Whenever I have chased it over here we always run into super cold weather, not something I enjoy…  Tomorrow should be a completely different ocean as the wind turns and the swell cleans up.

 

Gulf Coast – hit or miss Day 2

solid set comes through.

Hitting the road on my first trip of the year across the Florida coast to the West side.  The largest storm this winter is hitting early this week across the coasts, slatted to bring waves to both coasts.  I drove over on Sunday afternoon to get a session in before dark and the swell was already showing pretty strong.  Nokomis, Florida is not exactly a wave magnet compared to the rest of the world but has its moments with a set of Jetties that extend out with Venice to the south.  A little hint of red tide welcomed me but wasn’t enough to keep me out of the water.  Surfed until dark as it wasn’t ready to shoot yet.

The wind blew really hard as many of you experienced across Florida all night.  Waking up this morning to the buoy offshore in the Gulf at 20ft, the largest its been for a couple years.  I linked up with an old friend and ripper Jake to give it a go in the morning.  We checked it at dark and decided to go out at Venice public beach.  Since the winter has been so mild this year the water is actually pleasant and not super cold.  Pretty solid sets were coming through.  Pretty sure we were the only ones out for miles.  I swam out with my flash housing while we both tried to get into position to lineup for a shot.  It was great to get in the water again after having a back injury the last week.  We didn’t get much but had fun out there.  Couple bombs came through, pretty rare size for Venice beach.  After about an hour we headed in as it was too light for the flash. As the wind clocks more NW the waves will change and the spots to surf will change.  Time will tell what the conditions will evolve into!

LARGEST SEAS FORECAST FOR GOMEX SINCE HER-MEEN

Dont get a chance to talk about the Gulf of Mexico very much but it now appears the largest seas since Hurricane HER-MEEN are about to take place in the Gulf of Mexico. Latest NOAA 72HR wind wave forecast showing seas near 20 FEET in WNW Swell developing. Needles to say small craft should remain in port until this event passes with seas slowly subsiding next week. Here comes that “Wild Card” incredible set up Back Door OBX LOW. Last nights run of the GFS for Monday with the system continuing on off towards the NE. Threat for severe weather and heavy rains through the SE on up through New England so be safe everyone.
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Latest NOAA 72HR Windwave.
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This is a pretty amazing setup. This image is for Sunday. 24HRS before the GFS image above. If you look just inland West of the Outer Banks you can see a destination point when looking back at the GFS above for Monday. Lift and Wrap.
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Latest 72HR Swell Forecast with WNW Swell developing.
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Atlantic Surfers here is last nights video update. You can see the beginning phase of Southerly Suckup about to suck the life out of the West Atlantic.

Here was the Buoy Update posted up to our Social Feeds earlier this morning. Swell showing on all indicator Da Buh wees.
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Latest NOAA 96HR Swell forecast. Pattern setting up sending everything toward the NE Atlantic putting West Atlantic waters in negative swell production for surf while the NE Atlantic explodes over the next 7-10 day periods. Long duration of NW AND SW fetches all aimed in that direction.
2017-01-20_064003
Stay Tuned for updates. Follow us on our social feeds for Real-Time updates.
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Active Phase this Side of Northern Hemi

UPDATE 545AM EST
THURSDAY
JANUARY 19th 2017
 
BUOY WATCH NOW IN EFFECT WIND SWITCH PAUL WEST BERMUDA BUOY NW WINDS 25-30KTS GUST TO NEAR 35 ALONG WITH SWELL DIRECTIONAL CHANGE OUT OF THE NORTH ACROSS TO DIAMOND SHOALS THROUGH SOUTH HATTERAS BUOY’S THIS MORNING
 
WHAT EVER IS COMING BETTER TRY AND GET IT GOING SMALL FOR ALL FOR MOST ALONG U.S. EAST COAST AS A PATTERN SHIFT LOOKS TO BE DEVELOPING AND AS THE OLD SAYING GOES GOTTA TAKE THE GOOD WITH THE BAD ITS LOOKING PRETTY BAD AT THE MOMENT NOT TO MENTION LOOKS LIKE THE FLOOD GATES ARE ABOUT TO OPEN UP OVER THE SE WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER HEAVY HEAVY RAINS GOING LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY THROUGHOUT THE REGION
 
LONG PERIOD SWELL HEADING FOR THE ISLANDS IN NE WRAP NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
BUOY TO WATCH ON INCOMING SWELL PAUL WEST BERMUDA NOW AT 15 FEET BEGINNING PHASE OF SWELL DIRECTION CHANGE THE ISLANDS ALSO APPEAR TO BE GOING INTO A NON FAVORABLE SWELL DIRECTION FOR SURF UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD

IF PATTERN VERIFIES THE MAJORITY OF NORTH ATLANTIC WATERS SWITCHING TO EXTENDED PERIOD WSW SWELL THIS PATTERN LOOKS TO LOCK IN PLACE THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF FEBRUARY

THERE IS A WILDCARD PATTERN KNOWN TO PRODUCE OBX LOWS OVER THE LONG TERM AND AND WE ARE GETTING CLOSER TO A SEASONAL CHANGE BACK TO SPRING THE DAYS ONLY GET LONGER FROM HERE AND START PRAYING NOW FOR TORNADIC ACTIVITY TO REMAIN NEAR HISTORIC LOWS CAUSE THE FEELING WE ARE GETTING WITH FLORIDA REMAINING WARM THROUGH MOST OF WINTER THUS FAR THE SEASON WILL SOON BE UPON US AND THIS WEEKEND COULD BE THE FIRST SIGNS OF SEASON TO COME

 
THIS MORNINGS IMAGERY GALE EAST OF OBX
THIS IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH THAN ANTICIPATED STORM FORCE LOW FORECAST NEXT 48 ON ITS WAY INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC WHAT YOU SEE OVER TEXAS IS MOVING OFF TOWARDS THE EAST WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN SE U.S WITH POSSIBLE HEAVY COMING BEHIND IT
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WE HAVE RECENTLY SEEN THE END TO THE CALIFORNIA DROUGHT
ITS BEGINNING TO LOOK LIKE ITS THE SE TURN IMAGE IS 12 HOURS OLD
LOTS OF ENERGY THIS SIDE OF THE NORTHERN HEMI
ENERGY TRANSFER ACROSS THE U.S. INTO THE ATLANTIC
CONTINUED HEAVY RAINS FORECAST FOR WEST U.S. COAST NEXT 5-7 DAYS BEFORE PATTERN SHIFT LOOKS TO DRY THEM OUT FOR A WHILE
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LARGEST SWELL OF THE SEASON TO DATE  FOR PORTIONS OF WEST U.S. COAST
SEAS FORECAST EXCESS 40 FEET NEXT 48 HOURS EAST OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA IN NW SWELL BEHIND STORM FORCE LOW IMAGE ABOVE2017-01-19_062849
WITH ANOTHER STORM FORECAST NEXT 96 HOURS SW OF THE ALEUTIANS
958MB STORM FORCE LOW
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ATLANTIC SIDE OUR FEARS ARE BEGINNING TO BE CONFIRMED
LATEST 96HR SWELL FORECAST AND HERE COMES THE SOUTHERLY SUCKUP AS THE SWELL KILLER ADVERTISED IN PREVIOUS UPDATES
12-15 SECOND NORTHERLY SWELL SPREADING OUT THROUGH THE ISLANDS2017-01-19_063741
GOMEX LOOKS LIKE THE LARGEST SWELL EVENT FOR WEST FLORIDA SEASON TO DATE IS COMING SEAS GOING INTO DOUBLE DIGITS WESTERN GOMEX IN WNW SWELL2017-01-19_064417
AND JUST TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA OF PATTERN DEVELOPING THIS IS 7 DAYS
NOTHING BUT ALL WEST COMING ALL HEADED FOR THE NE ATLANTIC
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CHECK BACK FOR THE VIDEO UPDATE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.